GetJar CEO Says Mobile Apps Will Be Bigger Than the Internet – Eh?

I’m not even going to pretend to understand what GeJar’s Ilja Laurs meant by this quote reported by BBC News…

Apps ‘to be as big as internet’

I’m guessing this was taken out of context. But, let’s get to the heart of the argument that Laurs predicts iPhone apps will pass the 100,000 mark by the end of the year. Laurs also predicts that this will be the peak app output but then says that mobile apps will blossom again ten years from now when they will be as popular as websites.

100,000 iPhone apps by the end of the year seems possible at this point. At, it may in fact by the peak. We can probably expect to see a shakeout in the ebook app market as the number of individual book apps get shoved aside by ebook reader apps that can manage more than one title. But, trying to predict even 5 years into the future is difficult and 10 years is impossible. Would any of you have predicted the iPhone app phenomenon 5 years ago (let alone 10)?

It’s always fun to read predictions and even more fun to make them up. But, in my experience most long range predictions in the tech industry tend to be false ones. I remember being at a Microsoft Professional Developers Conference back in 1999 where Microsoft told us that rebooting after updates would go away with the introduction of Windows 2000. And, we all know how true that prediction was…

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