Jeff Rivera at our sibling blog GalleyCat has been talking to industry insiders about what they think publishing will look like ten years from now. Today, he got some predictions from Mark Coker of Smashwords, who offers a decidedly eBook-centric view of the future of publishing.
Here are a few of his most compelling predictions. Click over to GalleyCat for the rest:
- 95% of all reading will be on screens
- Most authors will be indie authors
- If the big six NY book publishers (the fat head) today publish 50% of what’s sold, and the long tail of thousands of indie publishers comprise the rest, then 10 years from now the fat head will shrink to 10% and the long tail will get both taller and longer.
- 10 years from now, we will all be authors, publishers and booksellers
- For those who still call books ebooks, it’ll be spelled “ebook,” not E-Book or e-book. Who today still calls email E-Mail?
That notion of almost all reading being on screens is either especially alarming or especially exciting. What do you think about it?