Hi AppNewser readers - we're now a part of Mediabistro's SocialTimes.com. For more great App news, reviews, guides and tips, head over to InsideMobileApps.

Twitter Trending Algorithm Claims To Predict Tweets Before They Are Tweeted

A team MIT scientists have created an algorithm that they claim can predict Twitter trending topics with 95 percent accuracy before they even happen.

MIT associate professor Devavrat Shah and his student Stanislav Nikolov claim that their tool will predict which topics will trend on an average of an hour and a half before Twitter’s own algorithm, and at times, even hours before Twitter. The reason  they say, is that their tool is unlike typical trending tools which only look at how small trends evolve over time. These guys just look at the data.

The MIT’s blog explains what this means:

In the standard approach to machine learning, Shah explains, researchers would posit a “model” — a general hypothesis about the shape of the pattern whose specifics need to be inferred. “You’d say, ‘Series of trending things … remain small for some time and then there is a step,’” says Shah, the Jamieson Career Development Associate Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science. “This is a very simplistic model. Now, based on the data, you try to train for when the jump happens, and how much of a jump happens.

“The problem with this is, I don’t know that things that trend have a step function,” Shah explains. “There are a thousand things that could happen.” So instead, he says, he and Nikolov “just let the data decide.”

(Via BuzzFeed).

Related Stories
Mediabistro Course

Social Media 201

Social Media 201Starting October 13Social Media 201 picks up where Social Media 101 left off, to provide you with hands-on instruction for gaining likes, followers, retweets, favorites, pins, and engagement. Social media experts will teach you how to make social media marketing work for your bottom line and achieving your business goals. Register now!